China Express(SZ:002928) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-09 08:48Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace and satellite industry is experiencing significant market interest, driven by a combination of policy, technology, and capital, leading to rapid development in this sector [1][5]. Market Performance - As of January 9, the China Securities Satellite Industry Index has increased by 22% year-to-date, while the National Certificate Commercial Satellite Communication Industry Index has risen over 18%, both showing a trend of consecutive daily gains [1][5]. - Several satellite and general aviation-themed ETFs have dominated the top of the ETF performance list, with notable returns: - The satellite ETF from Fortune Fund (563230.SH) has a year-to-date return of 15.99% and a three-month return of 61.42% - The satellite industry ETF from China Merchants Fund (159218.SZ) has a year-to-date return of 15.95% and a three-month return of 61.59% [2][6]. Fund Flows - The satellite ETF from Yongying Fund (159206.SZ) has seen a net inflow of 1.864 billion yuan, nearing a total scale of 9.426 billion yuan. Other satellite ETFs from Fortune and China Merchants have also experienced net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan [2][7]. - In contrast, some aerospace-themed ETFs have shown signs of profit-taking, with the China Merchants Aerospace ETF (159227.SZ) experiencing a net outflow of 405 million yuan year-to-date [4][8]. Industry Outlook - The year 2026 is anticipated to be a significant year for China's commercial aerospace launches, with expected launch counts surpassing 100. Several private aerospace companies plan to complete key model first flights or recovery validations [4][8]. - Breakthroughs in rocket recovery technology are projected to reduce launch costs by 70% to 90%, facilitating a shift towards a "flight-like" era for satellite launches. Additionally, large-scale networking plans from companies like China Star Network are expected to drive demand across the entire supply chain, including satellite manufacturing, rocket launches, and ground equipment [4][8].