2026 Global Outlook May Create Moments for Active ETFs

Global Economic Outlook - The BNY Investments team anticipates that the global economy is "primed for a steady advance" through 2026, but emphasizes the importance of being aware of subtle changes that can impact the economic landscape [5] United States - Economic headwinds in the U.S. are expected to "lessen," driven by lower tariff uncertainty, Federal Reserve policy, and favorable fiscal policy [2] - U.S. growth is projected to be fueled by consumer spending, supported by disposable income and tax refunds [2] Europe - The outlook for Europe indicates "only gradual growth" in 2026, influenced by capacity constraints in construction and defense procurement, along with political uncertainties in France [3] - Despite challenges, there are positive indicators in specific countries, such as Germany [3] China - China's economic performance is bolstered by diversified exports and advancements in AI, although growth is beginning to wane [4] - Further fiscal stimulus is anticipated in the first half of 2026, which could enhance stock positions in the country [4] Investment Strategies - The BNY Mellon Concentrated Growth ETF (BKCG) focuses on a concentrated approach to growth investing, targeting 25-35 companies expected to expand over the next three to five years [6][7] - The BNY Mellon Concentrated International ETF (BKCI) offers a concentrated portfolio of international stocks, utilizing a fundamental, bottom-up approach without specific focus on geographic or sector allocations [8]