Can Dave Sustain Its ExtraCash Surge While Managing Credit Risks?

Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) experienced a 49% year-over-year increase in ExtraCash originations, reaching $2 billion in the third quarter of 2025, raising concerns about credit risks [1][8] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported a 49% year-over-year rise in ExtraCash originations, amounting to $2 billion in Q3 2025 [1][8] - DAVE's net monetization rate improved by 45 basis points compared to the previous year, indicating enhanced underwriting precision [3] - The stock price surged by 177.5% over the past year, outperforming peers Jamf (down 7.8%) and Kyndryl Holdings (down 27.8%), while the industry overall gained 16.9% [5] Group 2: Technology and Risk Management - DAVE has integrated its proprietary AI and machine learning model, CashAI v5.5, which is trained on over 7 million ExtraCash originations, resulting in a reduction of the 28-day delinquency rate to 2.33% from 2.4% in the previous quarter [2][8] - The partnership with Coastal Community Bank is crucial for maintaining high ExtraCash originations while managing credit risks, allowing for efficient customer onboarding and supporting a capital-light model [4][8] Group 3: Valuation and Estimates - DAVE's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.77, higher than Jamf's 13.08 and Kyndryl Holdings' 8.94 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DAVE's earnings is $12.96 per share for 2025 and $14 for 2026, remaining unchanged over the past 30 days [12]