CPI同比创2023年3月以来最高

Group 1: Consumer Price Index (CPI) Insights - In December 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and 0.8% year-on-year, with the year-on-year growth rate reaching its highest since March 2023 [1][3] - The rise in CPI was primarily driven by an increase in food prices, which rose by 1.1%, contributing approximately 0.17 percentage points to the year-on-year CPI increase [4] - The overall CPI for 2025 remained flat compared to the previous year, indicating a relative lack of effective consumer demand and a mismatch between supply and demand [2][6] Group 2: Producer Price Index (PPI) Insights - The Producer Price Index (PPI) saw a month-on-month increase of 0.2% in December 2025, marking the third consecutive month of growth, while the year-on-year decline narrowed to 1.9% [7] - Key industries such as coal mining and lithium-ion battery manufacturing experienced price increases, reflecting improvements in supply-demand structures and ongoing capacity management policies [7][8] - The PPI's year-on-year decline is expected to continue narrowing due to the implementation of macroeconomic policies and improvements in market competition [7][9] Group 3: Future Outlook - The gradual release of "stabilizing growth and promoting consumption" policies is anticipated to lead to a moderate increase in CPI in 2026, surpassing the flat growth of 2025 [2][6] - Positive factors for 2026 include the expected improvement in upstream mining and extraction sectors due to "anti-involution" policies and the construction of a unified national market [9] - The complex domestic and international economic environment may drive up prices for upstream raw materials, contributing to an increase in PPI in 2026 [9]