3 6 Ke·2026-01-09 01:17Core Insights - The core argument presented is that AI is transitioning from a luxury to a necessity, with costs plummeting dramatically, making it more accessible for businesses and consumers alike [1][4][39]. Cost Structure - AI unit costs are decreasing at a rate faster than Moore's Law, with significant drops in the cost of tokens for large models over the past year [4][10]. - The lifespan of GPUs has increased from 3 years to over 7 years, allowing for more efficient use of hardware [5]. - Companies can now run AI on a single card or server for double the time, significantly reducing the cost per call [6][7]. Revenue Growth - Despite falling costs, revenue for AI companies is soaring, with growth rates surpassing previous technology cycles [8][10]. - Consumers are increasingly willing to pay higher subscription fees for AI services, with premium plans priced between $200 to $300 per month gaining traction [9][10]. Market Dynamics - The focus is shifting from who has the strongest AI to who can make affordable AI a standard process [3]. - The AI industry is expected to evolve into a pyramid structure, with a few supermodels at the top and numerous smaller models at the bottom, similar to the evolution of the computer industry [18][19]. Application Development - Companies are moving from merely integrating existing models to developing and fine-tuning their own models, enhancing functionality and cost-effectiveness [20][22]. - The pricing strategy for AI applications is shifting from cost-based to value-based, allowing for higher pricing based on the results delivered [26][28]. Competitive Landscape - The speed of innovation in AI is accelerating, with new entrants quickly catching up to established players due to open-source models and reduced costs [30][32]. - The competitive environment is characterized by uncertainty, where existing companies must make strategic choices to maintain their advantages [33][34]. Conclusion - The AI industry is at a pivotal moment where affordability is becoming more critical than capability, leading to a redefined competitive landscape [39][40].