美联储1月议息预测:维持不变的概率97.4%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-10 00:39
Core Viewpoint - The latest prediction from Polymarket indicates a high probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in January, with a 97.4% chance of no change [1] Summary by Categories Interest Rate Predictions - Probability of maintaining current interest rates is 97.4% [1] - Probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.1% [1] - Probability of a rate cut of 50+ basis points is negligible [1]