Core Viewpoint - In the next five years, it is projected that ten cities in China will achieve an economic scale of 3 trillion yuan, each comparable to a medium-developed European country [1] Group 1: Current Achievements - Five cities have already reached the 3 trillion yuan target: Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen, Chongqing, and Guangzhou, with Shanghai's GDP surpassing 5 trillion yuan for the first time [3] - Hong Kong's GDP is expected to reach 2.93 trillion yuan in 2024, likely achieving the target by 2025 [3] - Suzhou is projected to exceed 3 trillion yuan by 2026, with a current GDP of 2.67 trillion yuan in 2024 [3] - Chengdu and Wuhan, with GDPs of 2.35 trillion yuan and 2.11 trillion yuan respectively, aim to reach the 3 trillion yuan target by 2030, although this will require significant annual growth [3][4] Group 2: Economic Transformation - The cities are expected to undergo a fundamental transformation, evolving from production centers to global resource allocation centers, focusing on capital, technology, data, and high-level talent [5] - The industrial structure will shift from manufacturing to intelligent manufacturing, reducing reliance on real estate [5] - Cities like Chengdu and Chongqing will focus on electronic information and aerospace, while Suzhou and Hangzhou will leverage technological innovation and advanced manufacturing [5] Group 3: Implications for Ordinary People - The emergence of these cities will intensify talent attraction, making it difficult for lower-tier cities to retain talent, leading to a loss of population and vitality [8] - Resources, opportunities, and wealth will be redistributed across cities, potentially re-evaluating property values and creating significant disparities in asset appreciation [8] - Individuals in cities with growth potential may find new opportunities for wealth creation [8] Group 4: Recommendations for Individuals - Continuous learning will become essential for survival, as future job security will depend on the ability to adapt and learn [10] - Individuals should align their skills with the industrial needs of cities rather than simply relocating to major cities [10] - Assessing one's current city and its potential for growth will be crucial for future opportunities [10]
10座3万亿超级城市来了?你的工作、房子正在被重新定价!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-09 01:44