Group 1 - The consumer price index (CPI) in China increased by 0.8% year-on-year in December 2025, marking the highest growth since March 2023, driven by effective domestic demand policies and increased consumption during the New Year holiday [1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, rose by 1.2% year-on-year, indicating sustained consumer recovery momentum [1] - The industrial producer price index (PPI) showed a month-on-month increase, with the year-on-year decline narrowing, reflecting improvements in industrial production and pricing [1] Group 2 - The service sector and quality consumer goods prices have been steadily rising, with service prices increasing for eight consecutive months, indicating a shift in consumer spending from basic to quality-oriented products [2] - Prices in the digital economy sector, such as external storage devices, rose by 15.3% year-on-year, while biomass liquid fuel prices increased by 9%, showcasing the structural support for industrial prices from new productive forces [2] - The overall price recovery is supported by the optimization of demand structure and industrial upgrades, reflecting new growth momentum in the market [2] Group 3 - Policies aimed at reducing "involution" competition and building a unified national market are positively impacting PPI recovery, with prices in previously over-competitive sectors like coal and lithium batteries showing a continuous narrowing of year-on-year declines [3] - The significant year-on-year drop in pork prices by 14.6% in December is a major factor pulling down food prices and overall CPI, while international oil prices are expected to influence domestic fuel prices [3] - The recovery pace of the real estate market will also affect overall domestic demand and is a key variable in determining the price level [3] Group 4 - The internal recovery momentum is expected to dominate, promoting a continued moderate increase in prices, supported by macro policies and ongoing industrial upgrades [4] - Policies such as trade-in programs are anticipated to effectively boost consumer demand, with CPI and core CPI likely to continue their moderate upward trend [4] - The supply-demand relationship in the industrial sector is expected to improve, driven by the growth of the digital economy and green industries, leading to a potential year-on-year positive PPI by the second half of 2026 [4]
物价温和回升背后，有哪些积极变量？
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-10 02:10