超过日本成为世界第4，莫迪还没来得及高兴，就遭特朗普当头一棒

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing pressure from Trump on India, highlighting a shift in the U.S. stance towards India from a key partner to a replaceable one, particularly in the context of trade and strategic interests [1][5][12]. Group 1: U.S.-India Relations - Trump's recent comments indicate a more aggressive approach towards India, previously reserved for smaller nations, suggesting a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy [3][5]. - The U.S. has reassessed India's role, diminishing its strategic value due to India's actions during the Russia-Ukraine conflict and its oil trade with Russia [3][5]. - The relationship is now characterized by conditionality, where India's compliance with U.S. interests is crucial for maintaining its status as a key partner [12]. Group 2: Economic Implications - India has recently surpassed Japan to become the world's fourth-largest economy, yet this achievement has not altered Trump's perception of India [7][10]. - The U.S. has imposed a 25% base tariff on Indian goods, with an additional 25% tariff on Russian oil purchases, totaling a 50% tariff, which could severely impact India's export competitiveness [12]. - Concerns have been raised about the actual growth rate of India's economy, with some economists suggesting it may be as low as 2.5% to 3%, casting doubt on the country's economic vitality [10]. Group 3: Strategic Considerations - The U.S. aims to limit Russia's energy revenue, which directly influences its interests, overshadowing India's economic size [8][10]. - India's long-term investment plans may be jeopardized by the uncertainty created by high tariffs and the potential for further U.S. pressure [12]. - The article suggests that India's future relationship with the U.S. will depend on its willingness to align with U.S. strategic interests rather than pursuing an independent path [12].