2026房价是涨是跌？四个真实变化告诉你答案

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses the recent changes in the real estate market, highlighting a shift in policies and market dynamics that may influence buying decisions [1] Group 2 - The first change noted is a subtle "easing" of policies, with a notable adjustment in the "luxury tax" threshold from 5 million to 8 million in some cities, reducing tax burdens for buyers [3] - Additionally, mortgage rates have decreased by nearly 1 percentage point for first-time homebuyers, indicating a supportive policy shift aimed at lowering barriers to home purchases [3] Group 3 - The second change observed is that developers have become "low-key," with a significant reduction in new construction activity, as evidenced by a decline in new construction area over several quarters [4][6] Group 4 - The third change is the revitalization of the second-hand housing market, with increased activity in real estate agencies and a shift in buyer focus from purely investment to living attributes [7] Group 5 - The fourth change involves a "repair" in public expectations regarding the housing market, with a noticeable shift from extreme pessimism to more rational discussions about property values and potential purchases [9] Group 6 - It is important to note that these changes vary by city, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities experiencing the most significant shifts due to ongoing population inflow and job opportunities [10] Group 7 - For first-time buyers, current conditions are described as the most favorable in recent years, with low interest rates, reduced taxes, and a positive attitude from developers [11] - For those looking to upgrade, the second-hand market may offer better value compared to new properties, while caution is advised for speculative investments [13]