吃中俄食品观美欧局势，中东雄狮伊朗缘何走到现在

Core Viewpoint - The recent UN Security Council vote highlighted Iran's diplomatic isolation, with only four votes in favor of a resolution against sanctions, reflecting the consequences of its inconsistent foreign policy and strategic missteps [1]. Group 1: Iran's Diplomatic Challenges - Iran's attempts to balance relationships with both Western and Eastern powers have led to a lack of coherent strategy, resulting in missed opportunities for collaboration, particularly with China [1][3]. - The historical pride stemming from the Persian Empire has created a paradox where Iran seeks Western integration while simultaneously dismissing Eastern allies, leading to a sense of betrayal when Western agreements falter [3][11]. - The internal political structure complicates Iran's foreign relations, as the ruling clerical elite fears rising nationalism and prioritizes regime stability over genuine diplomatic engagement [5][7]. Group 2: Economic and Social Implications - The re-imposition of sanctions has severely impacted Iran's economy, with oil exports plummeting to 400,000 barrels per day and inflation soaring to 60%, leading to a depreciating currency and a volatile black market [13][14]. - A significant portion of the population, particularly the youth, is disillusioned with the current regime and seeks better opportunities, as evidenced by widespread protests and a desire for freedom and dignity [13][14]. - The internal economic landscape is hindered by powerful interest groups, such as the Revolutionary Guard, which complicates the implementation of international agreements, including the 25-year cooperation deal with China [9][14]. Group 3: Future Directions - Iran faces three potential paths: fully aligning with Eastern powers, capitulating to Western demands, or maintaining its current precarious stance, all of which present significant challenges [14]. - The energy transition away from oil diminishes Iran's leverage, and the patience of the younger generation is waning, raising questions about the country's future direction [14].