Nio Ended a 4 Year-Losing Streak Last Year: What’s the 2026 Forecast for NIO Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Nio, once considered the "Tesla of China," has faced market challenges but shows signs of recovery with a positive 2026 forecast and improved financial performance [1] Group 1: Recent Performance - Nio delivered 48,135 vehicles in December, marking a 54.6% year-over-year increase and setting a new monthly record [2] - In Q4 2025, Nio delivered 124,807 vehicles, a 71.7% increase compared to Q4 2024, although below the forecast of 150,000 [2] Group 2: Production Milestone - Nio has achieved the significant milestone of producing 1 million cars, highlighting its growth in the competitive EV market [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Nio's gross margin improved to 13.9% from 10.7% year-over-year, and its net loss decreased by 31.2% to $488.9 million, which was narrower than expected [4] - The company ended Q3 2025 with cash and cash equivalents totaling $5.1 billion [4] Group 4: 2026 Forecast - Nio aims for a volume growth target of 40% to 50% in 2026, with deliveries rising 46.9% to 326,028 in the previous year, potentially reaching close to half a million deliveries in 2026 [5] - The company plans to launch five new models in 2026, which, along with existing models like the Onvo L90 and ES8, are expected to drive further delivery growth [5] Group 5: Profitability Outlook - Nio is optimistic about achieving breakeven on adjusted profits in Q4 2025, which would be a significant milestone for the company and the industry [6] - For 2026, Nio targets full-year profitability on a non-GAAP basis [6]