马杜罗刚遭大难，特朗普转头盯上莫迪：想保住印度得让我高兴

Group 1 - Trump's comments indicate pressure on India regarding its oil purchases from Russia, threatening increased tariffs if India does not comply [1][3] - Since July last year, India has been a focal point of U.S. pressure due to its status as Russia's second-largest trade partner, with tariffs on Indian goods already raised to 50% due to oil imports [3][5] - The share of Russian oil in India's imports is projected to reach 37% by the fiscal year 2024-2025, providing India with energy security and cost savings [3][5] Group 2 - India's economy is vulnerable to trade wars, with GDP figures being questioned; actual growth rates may be as low as 2.5% to 3% compared to the official 8.2% [5][6] - The high unemployment rate and reliance on the informal sector further complicate India's economic situation, making it difficult to withstand prolonged tariff pressures [5][6] - India's attempts to appease the U.S. through transparency in oil purchases and agreements for LNG imports have not satisfied Trump's demands, indicating a broader geopolitical strategy at play [8][9] Group 3 - India faces a tough choice between maintaining its relationship with Russia for energy security and risking higher tariffs and declining exports from the U.S. [9] - The lack of institutional cooperation in U.S.-India relations complicates the situation, as personal diplomacy has not yielded substantial results [9] - The ongoing conflict over oil and tariffs highlights the challenges faced by emerging economies under the influence of major powers, with U.S. strategies reflecting a desire for compliance rather than cooperation [9]