美国CPI如何影响美联储议息，黄金能否创新高

Group 1: Market Overview - Oil prices and gold prices have been pushed up due to geopolitical tensions in oil-producing countries like Venezuela and Iran [1][5] - US stock markets saw significant gains, with the Dow Jones up 2.32%, Nasdaq up 1.88%, and S&P 500 up 1.57% for the week [1] - European indices also performed well, with the UK FTSE 100 up 1.74%, Germany's DAX 30 up 2.94%, and France's CAC 40 up 2.04% [1] Group 2: Economic Data and Federal Reserve - Upcoming economic data releases include the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and GDP data from Germany and the UK, which are expected to influence market sentiment [1][4] - The US unemployment rate has decreased more than expected, alleviating concerns about a sharp deterioration in the job market, although analysts caution that this data may be affected by the government shutdown [3] - The market anticipates at least two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026, with expectations that inflation will decline to around 2% by the end of the year [3] Group 3: Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil near-month contract rose by 3.14% to $59.12 per barrel, while Brent crude oil increased by 4.26% to $63.34 per barrel [5] - Gold prices surged, with COMEX gold futures for January delivery rising by 4.08% to $4,490.30 per ounce [5][6] - HSBC predicts that gold prices may reach $5,000 per ounce in the first half of 2026 due to geopolitical risks [6] Group 4: UK Economic Outlook - The UK is expected to show economic improvement in November, with a projected monthly growth of 0.2%, the fastest since June of the previous year [7] - Upcoming bond auctions in the UK and other European countries are expected to maintain high levels of government debt issuance [7]