国泰海通：美国12月失业率回落，1月降息门槛仍高

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan indicates that the U.S. job market continues to experience low hiring and low layoffs as of December, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.4%, interrupting its upward trend [1] Group 1: Employment Market Analysis - The unemployment rate has decreased to 4.4%, which was unexpected and breaks the trend of rising unemployment [1] - New job additions are showing a slowing trend, suggesting potential downward revisions in future annual data [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Outlook - The Federal Reserve has already implemented three interest rate cuts, and with the unemployment rate not increasing further, there is still time and space for the Fed to consider pausing rate cuts in January [1]