1月11日【油价调整】原油2天大涨5.6%，国内汽柴油降幅“大缩水”，下次1月20日调价，2026年油价“或上涨”！

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil prices are expected to experience fluctuations, with a potential increase in the upcoming adjustment scheduled for January 20, 2026, due to rising international oil prices influenced by geopolitical tensions [3][5]. Group 1: Current Price Adjustments - As of January 6, 2026, domestic gasoline and diesel prices increased by 45 yuan per ton, leading to a situation of price stasis [1]. - The current average price for 92 gasoline in Beijing is stable at 6.7 yuan per liter, while in Shandong, it hovers around 6.67 yuan per liter [3]. Group 2: Future Price Predictions - The next price adjustment is set for January 20, 2026, with a countdown of 9 days remaining from the current adjustment [3]. - The current cycle has completed 30% of its duration, with predictions indicating a potential decrease in gasoline and diesel prices by 80 yuan per ton, although this figure has been revised downwards by 40 yuan per ton due to recent market changes [5]. Group 3: International Oil Market Influence - International oil prices have seen a significant increase, with WTI crude oil rising to $59.12 per barrel and Brent crude to $63.34 per barrel, reflecting a 5.6% increase over two days [5]. - The rise in oil prices is attributed to worsening conditions in Iran, raising concerns about global oil supply disruptions [5]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Risks - There is a growing concern among analysts that if international oil prices continue to rise, the upcoming price adjustment on January 20 could result in the first increase of the year for domestic oil prices [5].