SPD BANK(SH:600000) Zhong Guo Jin Rong Xin Xi Wang·2026-01-11 09:24Core Viewpoint - The "Pudong Bank Risk Hedging 2026 Market Outlook Blue Book" emphasizes the need for a systematic understanding of financial logic, focusing on the interplay of credit, capital, and risk pricing cycles to support high-quality economic development [3][4]. Economic Overview - In 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, marking an acceleration of 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points compared to the previous year and the same period last year, respectively [4]. - The blue book highlights that industrial upgrades and the cultivation of new productive forces are shaping a new growth curve, with industrial added value increasing by 6.2% in the same period [4]. - The economic growth target for 2026 is projected at around 5%, aligning with the average annual growth rate of 4.17% needed to achieve the 2035 long-term goals [4]. Financial Market Insights - The fixed income market is expected to see a downward trend in funding price centers, with bond markets likely to experience low-level fluctuations [6]. - In the foreign exchange market, the blue book anticipates a favorable environment for the Renminbi due to expected continued interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and improving domestic economic fundamentals [6]. - The commodity market is projected to see increased demand for gold due to geopolitical uncertainties, while the copper price is expected to rise driven by monetary easing and inflation expectations [6]. Company Developments - Since its launch in 2018, the "Pudong Bank Risk Hedging" brand has provided robust financial support for over 26,000 clients, facilitating the internationalization of Chinese enterprises [10]. - The bank aims to enhance its risk management services and expand application scenarios, continuing to promote classic cases of using interbank interest rate derivatives for risk management [10].