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Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration's legislative action in early 2026 aims to pressure seven countries, including China, India, and Brazil, to cut off oil imports from Russia, reflecting a continuation of the U.S. strategy to contain Russia and reassert dominance in the global energy landscape [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Brazil - Brazil has become the second-largest importer of Russian diesel, with imports exceeding 7 million tons in 2024, driven by structural demand [4][6]. - Over 20% of Brazil's diesel supply relies on imports, with Russian diesel priced at $0.54 per liter, significantly lower than local refinery prices, impacting transportation costs and inflation [6][8]. - The Brazilian government has expressed opposition to unilateral sanctions, emphasizing that normal international trade should not be politically coerced [7][8]. Group 2: India's Position - India, the third-largest crude oil importer, saw its dependence on Russian oil peak in November 2025, with Russian oil accounting for 35.1% of total imports [11]. - Despite U.S. tariffs of up to 50% on some Indian exports, India has not issued a directive to halt Russian oil imports due to the stability and affordability of Russian oil [12]. - India's strategy reflects a balance between not openly opposing the U.S. while prioritizing its own economic interests, indicating a pragmatic approach to energy security [12][13]. Group 3: China's Response - Following the U.S. sanctions, China firmly opposed unilateral sanctions, asserting that energy cooperation with Russia is a normal trade practice [13][15]. - In 2024, China imported 108.47 million tons of crude oil from Russia, making it the largest supplier, and is advancing projects like the "Power of Siberia" gas pipeline [16][17]. - The deepening energy cooperation between China and Russia includes a shift towards local currency settlements, reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar [20][22]. Group 4: Broader Implications - The U.S. sanctions are perceived as ineffective against the backdrop of the economic interdependence of these nations, which prioritize their own interests over U.S. directives [22][24]. - The geopolitical landscape is shifting towards a multipolar world, where countries are increasingly questioning the fairness of U.S.-led rules and seeking alternative arrangements [24][36]. - The ongoing energy cooperation among China, India, and Brazil represents a challenge to U.S. dominance, as these nations assert their economic sovereignty against external pressures [35][39].