金价可能大跌开始了，26年1月11日黄金跌价

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a significant adjustment in the gold market, with both international and domestic gold prices experiencing a decline on January 11, 2026 [2][7] - The spot gold price fell to $4509.3 per ounce, while the domestic gold prices also decreased, with the Chinese gold base price dropping to 1011.5 yuan per gram [2][7] - Retail gold jewelry prices remain significantly higher than the base gold price, with major jewelry stores quoting prices between 1164 yuan and 1410 yuan per gram, reflecting processing costs and brand premiums [2][3] Group 2 - The pricing of brand gold jewelry remains stable among major domestic jewelry brands, with prices for simple gold jewelry generally around 1406 yuan per gram [3] - Investment-oriented brands like Caibai and China Gold offer lower prices for gold jewelry at around 1372 yuan per gram, while platinum jewelry prices range from 820 yuan to 920 yuan per gram [3] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange showed mixed performance on January 11, with some gold products experiencing slight increases, while silver T+D saw a notable rise of over 4% [4] Group 3 - The rise of "gold" financial products has been notable, with banks offering these products as a way for ordinary investors to participate in the gold market without holding physical gold [5] - These "gold" financial products are primarily divided into two categories: "fixed income gold" products and structured financial products, both designed to enhance returns while managing risks [5] - As of the end of 2025, most "gold" financial products have a risk rating concentrated in the medium to low range, with average annualized returns outperforming traditional fixed-income products [5] Group 4 - Despite the recent price correction, several international institutions maintain a positive outlook for gold prices in 2026, citing geopolitical uncertainties and rising fiscal pressures as long-term support factors [7] - Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices could approach $4800 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026, while HSBC suggests a possibility of reaching $5000 per ounce in the first half of 2026 [7] - The structure of the gold market is changing, with central banks and ETFs becoming significant players, indicating a shift from traditional jewelry consumption to a demand-driven market [7]