鲍威尔遭刑事调查

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is under criminal investigation by the U.S. Attorney's Office for the District of Columbia regarding the renovation of the Federal Reserve's Washington headquarters [1]. Group 1: Investigation and Legal Threats - The U.S. Department of Justice has issued a subpoena to the Federal Reserve, threatening prosecution against Powell [4]. - Former President Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell and threatened to sue him, particularly over the costly renovation project of the Federal Reserve building, which Trump claims cost billions [5]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - On December 10, 2025, Powell announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, marking a total reduction of 75 basis points over the last three meetings, aimed at stabilizing the labor market and addressing inflation [5]. - Powell indicated that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expects the federal funds rate to be 3.4% by the end of 2026 and 3.1% by the end of 2027, consistent with previous forecasts [6]. - Powell attributed the current inflation rate exceeding the Fed's 2% target primarily to increased import tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, suggesting that the tariff impact may be a one-time price increase [6].