如何展望新一年？我们问了19个行业154位企业家

Core Insights - The central viewpoint of the article emphasizes the resilience of the Chinese economy despite external challenges, highlighting the importance of corporate confidence and strategic choices in driving economic growth [1][3]. Group 1: Business Confidence and Investment - The entrepreneur confidence index for 2025 is reported at 70.64, indicating a stable outlook compared to 2024, with over 82% of surveyed entrepreneurs planning to maintain or expand investments in 2026 [4][29]. - Nearly 80% of entrepreneurs prioritize innovation-driven strategies over domestic demand expansion, reflecting a shift towards quality and innovation in competitive strategies [3][29]. - The overall business environment is perceived to have improved, with a notable increase in confidence regarding revenue growth and profit margins [4][9]. Group 2: Challenges and Competition - A significant 82.5% of entrepreneurs acknowledge intensified competition within their industries, with the central economic work conference addressing the need to mitigate "involution" in competition [14][17]. - Concerns regarding external uncertainties have decreased, particularly regarding government regulatory changes, which fell from 64.1% to 48.7% [9][14]. - Profit growth remains a challenge, with 21.4% of entrepreneurs anticipating difficulties in achieving profit increases due to competitive pressures and cost challenges [17][21]. Group 3: Technological Innovation and AI - Over 90% of surveyed companies have integrated artificial intelligence (AI) into their operations, with applications primarily in data analysis, decision support, and product development [3][41]. - The application of AI is seen as a significant driver of new productive forces, with nearly 60% of companies increasing investments in AI implementation [37][40]. - Despite the positive outlook on AI, companies face challenges such as cost pressures and talent shortages, which hinder the effective deployment of AI technologies [50][51]. Group 4: International Expansion - More than 80% of entrepreneurs express intentions to expand their overseas operations, with nearly 90% optimistic about China's position in the global supply chain [54][57]. - The challenges of international expansion have shifted from financial and strategic issues to brand establishment and operational capabilities [61][67]. - Companies are increasingly focusing on emerging markets, with Southeast Asia being a preferred region for expansion [71][74]. Group 5: Policy Expectations - Entrepreneurs prioritize "innovation-driven" and "domestic demand-led" policies, with 79.2% and 70% respectively, reflecting a strong desire for government support in these areas [74][80]. - There is a significant demand for direct financial support, such as innovation subsidies and tax incentives, to alleviate cost pressures and enhance innovation capabilities [80][83]. - The focus on technological innovation and support for the private economy is expected to play a crucial role in stabilizing growth and fostering high-quality development [77][80].