Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is experiencing significant developments, with the cancellation of export tax rebates marking a shift towards high-quality growth, while the space solar sector is anticipated to see increased demand and investment opportunities in the coming years [3][4][5]. Group 1: Solar Industry Developments - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of the value-added tax export rebate for solar products starting April 1, 2026, following a previous reduction in the rebate rate from 13% to 9% in 2024 [3]. - This policy shift indicates a transition in China's renewable energy strategy from "scale expansion" to "high-quality development," with the solar and battery industries maintaining a dominant global position, accounting for over 80% of global solar module production and over 90% in several key segments [3]. - The end of the "rebate dividend" era is expected to lead to a surge in orders and installations before the policy takes effect, while also encouraging technological innovation and brand development among companies [3]. Group 2: Space Solar Opportunities - The commercial space sector has gained traction, with space solar technology recognized for its high value and potential, positioning it as a leading segment in the new energy sector by 2026 [4]. - Space solar is becoming the preferred power solution for spacecraft due to abundant sunlight in space and the simplicity of deploying solar panels on satellites [5]. - P-type HJT and perovskite batteries are projected to become mainstream solutions for space solar, with advantages such as lightweight design and high efficiency, respectively [5]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The solar ETF (subscription code: 516233) was officially launched from January 12 to January 23, 2026, focusing on the core solar industry chain and leading companies, providing investors with a chance to capitalize on the new growth cycle in the solar sector [6]. - The China Securities Index for the solar industry has shown an annualized return of 8.73% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.36%, outperforming other indices in the solar sector [6]. - The solar industry is expected to enter a new phase of high-quality development, with signs of recovery in revenue and net profit growth starting from the first quarter of 2025 [9].
光伏退税清零+太空光伏崛起,行业拐点多重催化,光伏ETF招商(认购代码:516233)顺势发行
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-12 06:07