高市早苗被曝考虑提前大选，大规模经济刺激计划危？

Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is considering an early election, potentially in February, as her approval ratings remain high since taking office in October 2022, presenting an opportunity to solidify her position [2][3]. Group 1: Election Considerations - Takaichi's coalition partner, Hirofumi Yoshimura, indicated that discussions about the election timing have entered a "new phase" [2]. - Reports suggest that the election could be held on February 8 or 15, with Yoshimura stating he would not be surprised if Takaichi decides to call for an early election [3]. - Takaichi has not confirmed any specific election date during her recent interviews, focusing instead on current economic challenges [5][4]. Group 2: Economic Implications - Takaichi advocates for increased fiscal spending to stimulate Japan's economy, with a proposed budget of $783 billion, marking her first budget plan as Prime Minister [6]. - The potential early election could disrupt the approval of the budget for the current fiscal year, which ends in March, leading to the need for a temporary budget if not passed [10]. - The Japanese economy is facing challenges, including high food inflation, which is negatively impacting consumer spending [9]. Group 3: Political Landscape - The next general election was originally expected to occur by October 2028, but an early election could allow Takaichi to strengthen her position within the ruling coalition [10]. - The Liberal Democratic Party, led by Takaichi, currently holds a slim majority in the House of Representatives and is in a minority in the House of Councillors [10]. - Political analysts suggest that the announcement from the Ministry of Internal Affairs to prepare for a possible early election indicates that it is likely to happen [10].