“拐点”未至，万孚生物上市十年首现亏损，院内业务遭量价双杀

Core Viewpoint - Wanfu Bio (300482.SZ) is expected to face its lowest annual net profit since its listing in 2015, with a projected net profit of 46 million to 69 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 87.71% to 91.81% [2][3] Financial Performance - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between -15 million and -7.5 million yuan, marking a decline of 101.51% to 103.02% year-on-year [2][3] - For the first three quarters of 2025, Wanfu Bio reported total revenue of 1.689 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 22.52%, and a net profit of 133.74 million yuan, down 69.32% [4][6] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 60.3%, down 3.13 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was only 7.48%, down 12.68 percentage points [5] Reasons for Decline - The decline in revenue is attributed to shrinking domestic business income due to VAT rate adjustments and pressure on hospital business from medical industry policies [4][7] - The drop in net profit is influenced by three main factors: declining gross margins due to price reductions and product structure changes, high R&D and sales expenditures, and impairment losses from divesting non-core, low-profit businesses [4][7] Industry Context - Wanfu Bio's performance reflects broader challenges in the in vitro diagnostics (IVD) industry, which is experiencing a downturn as the benefits from the COVID-19 pandemic fade [8] - The IVD industry is currently in a consolidation phase, with ongoing pressures from policy changes and pricing strategies affecting demand and profitability [8] Strategic Adjustments - The company has decided to pause the construction of its "Knowledge City Production Base" project to avoid resource waste and control costs, indicating a strategic shift in response to changing internal and external conditions [9][10] - Wanfu Bio aims to enhance cash flow and strategic flexibility through this pause, which is seen as a prudent move rather than a sign of financial distress [10] Future Outlook - The company is focusing on innovation and AI-driven strategies to transition its business from point-of-care (POC) to IVD, with hopes for significant business improvement in 2026 [10]