Core Insights - Competition among major banks is intensifying as they prepare for fourth-quarter earnings, with JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley set to report [1][2] - Analysts indicate that banks are facing the toughest competition in years, with a focus on capturing new business across various sectors [2][3] Group 1: Earnings and Competition - The upcoming earnings season is expected to highlight strong competition in dealmaking, talent acquisition, and technology [1][2] - Analysts predict a significant rebound in dealmaking, with worldwide M&A value rising approximately 45% year over year, despite a slight decline in the number of deals [6][8] - Investment banking advisory bonuses are projected to increase by as much as 20% compared to the previous year, indicating a strong year for banking and trading [4] Group 2: Hiring and Talent - The resurgence in dealmaking is leading to increased hiring competition, with firms willing to pay competitively to retain top talent [9][10] - Industry insiders report that the best talent is being actively recruited, especially in a favorable market environment [10] Group 3: Credit Quality - Credit quality remains stable, although there are concerns about potential isolated problems in the credit market, particularly among midsize firms [11][12] - Analysts caution that while large banks are unlikely to face major surprises, credit cycles often begin with specific issues [12][13] Group 4: Technological Advancements - Goldman Sachs is focusing on its OneGS 3.0 initiative, aimed at enhancing profitability and productivity through AI [13][14] - The banking industry is shifting from experimental AI projects to making AI a core strategic priority, with expectations for detailed plans on AI deployment from banking leaders [15][16]
Competition is heating up on Wall Street. Here are 4 things to watch as they report earnings.