金价持续上涨如何看

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in gold prices, with spot gold reaching a historical high of nearly $4600 per ounce in January 2025, marking a 70% increase for the year, the largest annual gain since the 1979 oil crisis [1] - The upward trend in international gold prices began in the second half of 2019, with an 18% increase that year, and continued with multiple breaches of the $2000 per ounce mark from 2020 to 2023, culminating in a 27% increase in 2024 and a rapid rise in 2025 [1] - Factors driving the strong performance of gold include increased global demand for safe-haven assets and a decline in the credibility of the US dollar, as indicated by rising geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties [2] Group 2 - The weakening of the US dollar and the Federal Reserve's shift to a rate-cutting cycle have reduced the holding costs of gold, making it more attractive to investors [2] - Central banks worldwide have accelerated diversification of reserves, significantly increasing their gold holdings, which has been a crucial factor in driving up gold prices [2] - The rise in gold prices has also positively impacted other precious metals, with silver and platinum prices increasing over 140% and palladium over 100% last year, driven by both investment demand and industrial applications [3] Group 3 - The gold market is expected to enter a new phase of dynamic balance and multiple forces at play by 2026, indicating a complex future for gold prices [3] - Investors are advised to maintain a rational approach to the hot gold market, emphasizing the importance of diversification and a systematic investment strategy to manage risks effectively [3]