贺博生：1.13黄金原油今日行情涨跌趋势分析及最新独家多空操作建议

Market Overview - The market operates on the principle that informed individuals earn from those who are less informed, emphasizing that in capital markets, there are only winners and losers [1] - The investment philosophy suggests that one should act when the price reaches a certain level and remain observant otherwise [1] Gold Market Analysis - On January 12, during the US trading session, spot gold surged past $4550.15, reaching a historical high of $4627.39, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and escalating tensions in Iran [2] - A new catalyst emerged as the Trump administration initiated a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, leading to increased safe-haven buying [2] - The significant drop in the US dollar contributed to the rise in gold prices, with the dollar experiencing its largest decline in three weeks [2] Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold opened strong on January 12, hitting a high of around $4600 and later reaching $4620, indicating a strong bullish trend without signs of a pullback [4] - The market is discussing the independence of the Federal Reserve due to the subpoena issued by the Justice Department, which could undermine confidence in policy decisions [4] - Current price levels suggest a potential test of $4690 if gold continues to rise, with support at $4560 [4] Oil Market Analysis - On January 12, US crude oil prices reached a near one-month high of $59.80 per barrel before retreating to around $58.95, influenced by heightened geopolitical risks related to Iran [5] - Concerns about potential military intervention by the US in Iran and fears of retaliatory actions affecting the Strait of Hormuz have driven market volatility [5] - The oil market is expected to experience fluctuations as geopolitical risks and supply-demand fundamentals interact [5] Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates that oil prices have entered a consolidation phase after reaching $54.80, with three consecutive bullish candles [5] - The first resistance level for a mid-term rebound is at $60.50; failure to break this level may lead to continued weak and choppy price action [5] - Short-term trends suggest an upward movement, with MACD indicators showing bullish momentum [5]