中金:如果美国通胀与流动性冲击导致中美股票、黄金、美债等资产回调,建议逢低增配
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-13 00:55

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for a compensatory rise in U.S. inflation as predicted by CICC, which may impact the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and global liquidity [1] Group 1: Inflation Predictions - CICC calculates statistical errors in U.S. inflation and forecasts a rise in CPI data for December 2025, January 2026, and April 2026 [1] - Recent strong U.S. inflation could lead the Federal Reserve to slow down its rate cuts, resulting in tighter global liquidity [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - There is an increase in uncertainty for major asset classes in both China and the U.S. due to inflation and liquidity shocks [1] - It is recommended to increase allocation in commodities to hedge against risks [1] - In the event of a pullback in U.S. stocks, gold, and U.S. Treasuries due to inflation and liquidity impacts, it is advised to buy on dips [1]

中金:如果美国通胀与流动性冲击导致中美股票、黄金、美债等资产回调,建议逢低增配 - Reportify