Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-01-13 02:33Core Viewpoint - The strong performance of insurance stocks is driven by better-than-expected data for the 2026 New Year sales, with leading insurance companies showing significant growth in new policies [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - China Ping An (601318) rose by 2.85% to HKD 70.45 [1] - China Pacific Insurance (02328) increased by 2.52% to HKD 16.66 [1] - China Life (601628) saw a rise of 2.32% to HKD 32.62 [1] - New China Life (601336) grew by 2.14% to HKD 62.15 [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - Huaxi Securities reported that the strong performance in new policy sales during the 2026 New Year period, with some leading insurers showing over 70% year-on-year growth in new policies, is a direct catalyst for the current rise in insurance stocks [1] - The low base from the previous year contributes to the strong momentum observed in the leading insurance companies this year [1] Group 3: Investment Trends - Insurance products are expected to attract part of the funds from savings due to their relative yield advantages [1] - Concerns regarding interest margin losses have significantly eased, leading to a gradual elimination of valuation pressures on the sector [1] Group 4: Future Projections - Guojin Securities anticipates that the shift of bank insurance will drive high growth in new policies and new business value (NBV) in 2026 [1] - Since 2020, residents have increased their precautionary savings, with new deposits consistently exceeding CNY 10 trillion, particularly in 2021, 2023, and 2024, with new deposits of CNY 9.9 trillion, CNY 16.67 trillion, and CNY 14.26 trillion respectively [1] - A significant portion of these high-interest deposits is expected to mature in 2026, with a potential shift of funds towards insurance products amid declining deposit rates and a shortage of medium to long-term deposit supply [1]