2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-13 04:28Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector has experienced significant volatility, with recent trading showing both sharp declines and substantial gains in stock prices, indicating a highly speculative environment driven by market sentiment and news events [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The aerospace sector saw a notable decline with the aerospace index dropping by up to 9.37% and specific stocks like Aerospace Science and Technology falling by 10% [1]. - Conversely, on the previous day, the commercial aerospace index surged over 6%, with more than 90 related stocks hitting their daily price limits or increasing by over 10% [3]. - Several major commercial aerospace stocks have reported significant price increases over the past two months, with Aerospace Huan Yu and Aerospace Electronics seeing increases of 265.82% and 194.40%, respectively [4]. Group 2: Risk Warnings - Multiple commercial aerospace companies issued risk warnings due to the extreme volatility in their stock prices, with some indicating potential stock suspensions if prices continue to rise abnormally [3][4]. - The day marked the highest concentration of risk warnings since the recent surge began in late December, highlighting the speculative nature of the current market [4]. Group 3: Industry Developments - A significant driver of the recent market activity was the announcement from the International Telecommunication Union (ITU) regarding China's application for frequency and orbital resources for over 203,000 satellites, marking the largest such application to date [5]. - This application is seen as elevating satellite networking to a national strategic level, potentially leading to a surge in orders for upstream supply chains and commercial rocket companies [5]. Group 4: Industry Challenges - Industry experts caution that the commercial aerospace sector is still in a "storytelling" phase, with challenges in satellite manufacturing costs and the need for successful reusable rocket technology [6]. - The integration of satellite applications into consumer services remains incomplete, indicating that further exploration is needed to align satellite services with public demand [6]. - Experts emphasize the importance of a rational perspective on the recent developments, noting that the satellite system's implementation will take considerable time and that the current phase is still in its early stages [7].