2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-13 05:26Core Viewpoint - The commercial aerospace sector in China is experiencing significant volatility, with many stocks facing sharp declines after a period of rapid growth, driven by recent satellite application announcements and market speculation [1][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The ChiNext Index fell by 0.83% as of January 13, with multiple commercial aerospace stocks hitting the daily limit down, including Aerospace Science and Technology (down 10%), Beidou Star (down 10%), and Aerospace Development (down 9.95%) [1][2]. - Several aerospace ETFs also saw declines exceeding 5%, indicating a broader market pullback in this sector [2][3]. - Notably, some commercial aerospace stocks began to rebound, such as Shaanxi Huada (up 20%) and Tianyin Electromechanical (up 17.9%), amidst a mixed performance in the sector [3][4]. Group 2: Satellite Application Announcement - On January 11, China submitted an application for 203,000 new satellites to the ITU, marking the largest international frequency and orbit resource application in the country's history [7]. - This application includes 14 satellite constellations and is expected to activate the entire satellite manufacturing, launching, and operational industry chain in China [8]. - However, experts caution that the transition from application to actual satellite launches will take time, and the current number of operational satellites may not meet market expectations [6][11]. Group 3: Market Risks and Speculation - Several leading commercial aerospace stocks issued risk warnings on January 12, highlighting the potential for further price volatility and the need for caution among investors [10]. - The rapid price increases of stocks like Aerospace Universe and Aerospace Electronics, which saw gains of over 194% and 265% respectively in less than two months, have raised concerns about sustainability [10]. - Industry insiders suggest that the commercial aerospace sector is still in a "storytelling" phase, with challenges in satellite manufacturing costs, transportation reliability, and service integration remaining to be addressed [11][12].