原油收盘连续上涨 国内汽柴行情零星上推

Core Viewpoint - Recent international market news has been dominated by favorable factors, primarily driven by rising geopolitical risks, particularly in Venezuela and Iran, leading to significant increases in international oil prices [1][2] Group 1: Geopolitical Factors - The situation in Venezuela remains uncertain, impacting investor sentiment and market stability [1] - Ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, along with escalating anti-government protests in Iran, raise concerns about potential supply disruptions [1][2] Group 2: Oil Price Trends - International oil prices have risen significantly over three consecutive days, with a current average price of $59.94 per barrel, resulting in a change rate of 0.45% [1] - The domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to increase by 5 yuan per ton due to the positive change rate [1] Group 3: Market Reactions - The current pricing cycle is halfway through, with expectations of price stabilization or slight increases, having minimal impact on the domestic wholesale market [1] - Despite the rise in oil prices, market participants are cautious, primarily engaging in demand-based procurement, leading to limited improvements in trading atmosphere [1] Group 4: Future Outlook - Concerns over potential supply disruptions from Iran may lead to further increases in international oil prices, although market sentiment is becoming more cautious after recent price hikes [2] - Seasonal factors are affecting diesel demand negatively, while gasoline consumption is supported by increased private vehicle usage and pre-holiday stocking [2] - Refinery pricing strategies remain conservative, with limited willingness to lower prices despite high costs, indicating a potential for price adjustments in the near future [2]