Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2026-01-13 10:51Core Insights - Microsoft warns that U.S. AI companies are being surpassed by Chinese competitors, particularly in emerging markets, due to the advantages of low-cost open-source models [1][4] - The research indicates that DeepSeek's R1 model has significantly accelerated AI adoption in global southern countries, leading to a shift in market share towards China [1][5] Group 1: Competitive Landscape - Microsoft President Brad Smith highlights that China now possesses multiple competitive open-source models, contrasting with U.S. companies that maintain strict control over their advanced technologies [1][4] - DeepSeek has captured significant market shares in Africa, with 18% in Ethiopia and 17% in Zimbabwe, showcasing its rapid growth in these regions [3][4] - In countries where U.S. tech products are restricted, DeepSeek holds even larger market shares, such as 56% in Belarus and 49% in Cuba [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The application of AI is primarily concentrated in developed countries, with 25% of the population in global northern countries using AI compared to 14% in global southern countries [4] - Smith expresses concern over the widening AI gap, warning that it could exacerbate economic disparities between the global north and south [4] - The need for increased investment from international development banks and financial institutions is emphasized to build data centers and subsidize electricity costs in Africa [3][4] Group 3: Industry Reactions - OpenAI CEO Sam Altman acknowledges the competitive threat posed by DeepSeek and admits that OpenAI's closed strategy may have flaws [6] - Altman praises DeepSeek's latest model as "very good," indicating a potential shift in OpenAI's approach to open-source AI software [6]