2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-13 10:59Core Viewpoint - The A-share annual report performance forecast season is unfolding with a notable difference from previous years, as companies with poor performance are disclosing their losses earlier than usual, alongside profit warnings from companies with better performance [1]. Group 1: Performance Forecast Trends - As of January 13, 2026, 105 listed companies have released their performance forecasts for 2025, accounting for 70.9% of recent disclosures, with 57 companies (54.29%) predicting losses [1]. - Traditionally, companies with good performance tend to report positive forecasts early, while those with poor performance delay their disclosures. However, this trend has been disrupted in January 2026, with loss announcements appearing simultaneously with profit increases [1][3]. Group 2: Industry Impact and Loss Distribution - The current wave of loss announcements is characterized by "uneven scale and industry concentration," with traditional cyclical industries being the hardest hit. The real estate sector has shown particularly poor performance, with all six companies that disclosed forecasts reporting losses [3]. - Among the 57 companies predicting losses, two are expected to lose over 10 billion, while others fall into various loss brackets, with the real estate giant Greenland Holdings projected to lose between 16 billion to 19 billion yuan, marking its third consecutive year of losses [3][4]. Group 3: Specific Company Forecasts - Yonghui Supermarket is expected to report a negative net profit for the fifth consecutive year, while the vaccine leader Zhifei Biological Products anticipates a loss of 10.698 billion to 13.726 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 630% to 780%, marking its first annual loss in 25 years [4]. - Other companies, such as Sanan Optoelectronics and Zhuosheng Micro, are also forecasting significant losses, with declines in their respective sectors [5]. Group 4: Profit Growth in Certain Sectors - In contrast to the loss announcements, companies in the resource and technology sectors are experiencing significant profit growth, driven by rising commodity prices and technological innovations. For instance, Zijin Mining expects a net profit of 51 to 52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62% [8]. - The technology sector is also seeing growth, with companies like Sanhua Intelligent Control projecting a profit increase of 25% to 50% due to advancements in their automotive parts business [8][9]. Group 5: Market Reactions and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the early disclosure of losses is a strategy to manage investor expectations and prevent market volatility during the concentrated reporting period. This reflects a regulatory focus on transparency and investor protection [14]. - Looking ahead to 2026, there is a positive sentiment among institutions regarding market recovery, with expectations of improved corporate earnings driven by macroeconomic recovery and increased investor confidence [15].