六大经济部委释放2026关键转向：两大市场要稳，这些产业要飞

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is focusing on stabilizing economic growth and expanding domestic demand in 2026, which marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with key policies aimed at supporting technology innovation, stabilizing the real estate and stock markets, and promoting consumption and investment [1][2]. Economic Policy Initiatives - Various ministries are implementing proactive macroeconomic policies, including enhancing economic monitoring, improving policy tools, and ensuring smooth policy transitions between 2025 and 2026 [2]. - The fiscal policy for 2026 will be more active, with an expanded fiscal spending plan, optimized government bond tools, and improved transfer payment efficiency to enhance local financial autonomy [2]. - The People's Bank of China will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy, focusing on high-quality economic development and reasonable price recovery, with expectations of a 25-50 basis point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio [3][4]. Consumption and Investment Promotion - The government aims to boost consumption through practical measures, including optimizing the trade-in policy for consumer goods and enhancing service consumption [7]. - Investment will be stabilized through government funding, including the issuance of new local government special bonds and increased central budget investments [8]. - A total of approximately 295 billion yuan has been allocated for early 2026 projects, with significant infrastructure projects approved, totaling over 400 billion yuan [8]. Real Estate and Stock Market Stability - The focus for 2026 will be on stabilizing the real estate market through targeted policies, including inventory reduction and optimizing supply [12]. - Recent adjustments in housing policies in major cities aim to support both rigid and improved housing demand, with expectations of further easing measures [12]. - The central bank is also working on mechanisms to mitigate financial risks in key areas, ensuring stability in capital markets [13]. Emerging Industries Development - The government is prioritizing the enhancement of technological innovation capabilities in industries, with a focus on sectors such as integrated circuits, new materials, and aerospace [10][11]. - A new venture capital fund has been established to support investments in "hard technology" sectors, with an expected investment scale exceeding one trillion yuan [10]. Overall Economic Growth Projections - GDP growth for 2026 is projected to be around 5%, with a broadening fiscal deficit and an increase in special bonds to support economic activities [3][4]. - The emphasis will be on combining short-term policies with long-term structural reforms to enhance domestic demand and economic resilience [9].