Core Insights - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.7% year-on-year in December 2025, while the core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, increased by 2.6% [1] - Morgan Stanley's analysis indicates that the inflation data for December may contain "technical noise" due to the prolonged government shutdown, potentially diminishing its value in predicting the Federal Reserve's future policy direction [1] - Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have arisen amid a criminal investigation involving its chairman, Jerome Powell [1] Economic Indicators - The job market in the U.S. is currently experiencing weak hiring, yet persistent inflation concerns may compel the Federal Reserve to be more cautious in deciding whether to ease monetary policy in 2026 [1] - According to the CME Group's "FedWatch Tool," there is a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at its upcoming meeting this month [1]
美国2025年12月CPI同比上涨2.7% 预计美联储本月大概率维持利率不变
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-13 14:07