马斯克预言三年机器人超人类医生 中国手术机器人产业已按下加速键?|科技观察
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-13 14:44

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk predicts that within three years, robotic surgeons will surpass human capabilities, emphasizing the precision and shared experience of AI and robots in surgery [1][3] Group 1: Market Growth and Trends - The global surgical robot market is on the verge of explosive growth, with China's market size increasing from 2.47 billion RMB in 2019 to 6.01 billion RMB in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 24.9% [3] - China leads the world with 57 surgical robot companies, and the number of related bidding projects has surged, with a 53% increase in 2024 compared to 2023 [3] - As of January 12, there are 956 existing surgical robot companies in China, with a significant portion of registered capital exceeding 10 million RMB [3] Group 2: Innovation and Development - China has filed 8,528 patents related to surgical robots, with over 70% of these applications submitted in the last five years, indicating rapid advancement in technology [6] - The number of approved domestic surgical robots has steadily increased, with 19, 30, and 51 models approved from 2022 to 2024, showcasing diversification beyond orthopedic robots [6] - The National Health Commission's guidelines aim for balanced healthcare institution layouts and the widespread adoption of remote medical services by 2030, which may lower equipment costs and enhance accessibility [6] Group 3: Remote Surgery Breakthroughs - Significant advancements in remote surgery have been made, including the world's first remote robotic retinal injection surgery completed in Xinjiang, demonstrating the capabilities of domestic surgical robots [7] - The Shanghai MicroPort Medical Robotics system has become the first to achieve compliance for remote functionality registration, establishing a global network for remote surgeries [7] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities - Despite rapid growth, the domestic market penetration for robotic-assisted laparoscopic surgery remains low, with only 0.7% in 2024 compared to 21.9% in the U.S., indicating substantial room for growth [8] - The introduction of surgical robots aims to enhance precision in complex procedures, but the technology's development is gradual and requires overcoming operational challenges [8] - Companies like Precision Medical face profitability challenges, with reported revenues and significant losses in recent years, highlighting the financial hurdles in the commercialization of surgical robots [8][9] Group 5: Research and Policy Support - Continuous R&D investment is common in the industry, with Precision Medical's R&D expenses reaching 171 million RMB in 2023 and 226 million RMB in 2024 [9] - Surgical robots are now included in the medical insurance reimbursement range across 28 provinces and cities, with reimbursement rates between 45% and 75%, providing a supportive environment for industry growth [9]

SIASUN-马斯克预言三年机器人超人类医生 中国手术机器人产业已按下加速键?|科技观察 - Reportify