What to Expect From Hershey's Next Quarterly Earnings Report

Core Insights - The Hershey Company (HSY) is set to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings for 2025 on February 5, with a market cap of $38.3 billion and a focus on confectionery and pantry items [1] Earnings Expectations - Analysts predict HSY will report a diluted profit of $1.40 per share, a decrease of 48% from $2.69 per share in the same quarter last year [2] - For the full fiscal year, EPS is expected to be $6, down 36% from $9.37 in fiscal 2024, but projected to rise 15.7% year-over-year to $6.94 in fiscal 2026 [3] Stock Performance - HSY stock has underperformed the S&P 500 Index, which gained 17.7% over the past 52 weeks, with HSY shares up 16.6% during the same period [4] - However, HSY outperformed the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund, which returned 2.4% [4] Business Challenges - The company's underperformance is attributed to challenges in its seasonal business, particularly around Halloween, influenced by timing, weather, and changing consumer behavior, along with margin compression from higher cocoa prices and increased brand investments [5] - Despite some successful innovations like REESE'S Oreo, HSY anticipates moderate volume declines and is cautiously optimistic about cocoa cost inflation and tariff relief, focusing on margin rebuilding and growth [5] Recent Financial Results - On October 30, 2025, HSY shares fell over 2% after reporting Q3 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.30 exceeding expectations of $1.09, and revenue of $3.2 billion surpassing forecasts of $3.1 billion [6] - The company expects full-year adjusted EPS to be in the range of $5.90 to $6 [6] Analyst Ratings - The consensus opinion on HSY stock is cautious, with a "Hold" rating overall; out of 23 analysts, four recommend "Strong Buy," one "Moderate Buy," 17 "Hold," and one "Strong Sell" [7] - The average analyst price target for HSY is $194.41, indicating a potential upside of 2.8% from current levels [7]