六大经济部委释放2026关键信号 两大市场要稳,这些产业要飞
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-13 23:16

Group 1: Economic Policy Signals - The Chinese government is focusing on four key policy signals for 2026: stabilizing growth, expanding domestic demand, supporting technological innovation, and stabilizing the real estate and stock markets [1][2] - Various ministries are actively promoting early policy implementation to ensure a smooth start to 2026, including the early issuance of project lists and investment plans [1][2] Group 2: Fiscal and Monetary Policy - The 2026 fiscal policy will continue to be proactive, with an expanded fiscal spending plan and optimized government bond tools to enhance effectiveness [2][3] - The People's Bank of China will maintain a moderately loose monetary policy, with expectations of a 25-50 basis point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 10-20 basis point decrease in the 7-day reverse repo rate [3][4] Group 3: Consumption and Investment - Measures to boost consumption include optimizing the trade-in policy for consumer goods and expanding service consumption, while investment will be supported through various government funding initiatives [5][6] - The government plans to implement a consumption upgrade policy, providing subsidies for trade-ins of automobiles, home appliances, and digital products [6] Group 4: Real Estate Market Stability - The 2026 strategy includes stabilizing the real estate market through targeted policies, such as controlling new supply and utilizing existing housing stock for affordable housing [11][12] - Major cities are expected to further relax housing purchase restrictions and lower mortgage costs to stimulate housing demand [12] Group 5: Emerging Industries Development - The government aims to enhance technological innovation capabilities and support the growth of emerging industries such as integrated circuits, new materials, and biomedicine [8][9] - A new venture capital fund has been established to attract investment in high-tech sectors, with an expected total investment scale exceeding one trillion yuan [9] Group 6: Innovation-Driven Growth - The focus for 2026 will be on building an innovation-driven growth model, emphasizing the integration of short-term policies with long-term structural reforms [10]