经济韧性超预期！世界银行上调全球增长预期至2.6%，美国经济表现强劲

Group 1 - The World Bank has raised its global growth forecast for 2026 to 2.6%, up from the previous estimate of 2.4% made in June [1] - The U.S. economic growth forecast for this year has been significantly increased from 1.6% to 2.2% [1] - The global growth forecast for 2025 is estimated at 2.7%, driven by three main factors: preemptive stockpiling by businesses and households before the implementation of tariffs, the actual economic suppression effect of high tariffs being weaker than expected, and sustained spending in the information and technology sectors providing structural support for growth [1] Group 2 - The World Bank's Deputy Chief Economist, Ayhan Kose, noted that global growth is trapped within a specific range, showing resilience but failing to accelerate [2] - Since 2023, actual GDP growth has fluctuated between 2.6% and 2.8%, contrasting sharply with the average growth rate of 3.2% during the decade before the pandemic (2010-2019) [2] - The World Bank's report indicates that global inflation is expected to slightly decrease to 2.6% in 2026, which is 0.3 percentage points lower than previous expectations [2] Group 3 - Brent crude oil prices are projected to decline from an average of $69 per barrel in 2025 to $60 per barrel in 2026 [3] Group 4 - In the next decade, 1.2 billion young people in emerging markets will reach working age, making job creation a pressing priority [4]