AI没有泡沫?在上海一间会议室里,我们听到了另一种答案
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2026-01-14 02:10

Group 1 - AI is extending from cloud computing to factory production lines and pharmaceutical laboratories, indicating a shift in the wealth map for the next five years [1] - A closed-door seminar hosted by 21st Century Business Herald gathered nearly 30 distinguished guests, including economists, asset management executives, and scientists, to discuss the new cycle in capital markets driven by technology narratives [1] - The seminar highlighted the importance of strategic emerging industries such as AI, new energy vehicles, and semiconductors, which have moved from a nascent stage to a more robust phase of commercialization [5][6] Group 2 - The chief economist of Zheshang Bank presented a model analyzing the economic outlook across 31 primary industries and 124 secondary industries, predicting that 2026 will be a turning point for economic recovery [3] - The discussion emphasized that the negative impacts of external shocks on traditional industries are gradually being absorbed, with the real estate sector's downturn affecting various related industries [3] - A consensus emerged that a new investment cycle is likely to begin in the second half of 2026, supported by more proactive fiscal policies focusing on both "things" and "people" [5] Group 3 - Concerns about the potential bubble in AI investments were addressed, with most industry representatives rejecting the notion of a bubble, citing that current AI investments are still a small fraction of GDP [9][7] - The discussion revealed that AI is seen as a driver of productivity improvements, with companies leveraging AI technologies to enhance operational efficiency [10][11] - The challenges of transitioning from advanced research to stable delivery in production and achieving sustainable business models in the capital market were highlighted as significant hurdles [11] Group 4 - The need for a balance between short-term performance and long-term AI research investments was emphasized by representatives from robotics and semiconductor companies [14] - The concept of "patient capital" was introduced as essential for hard technology enterprises, with a focus on long-term investments in strategic sectors like computing chips and quantum computing [12][14] - The seminar concluded with a clear consensus on the investment focus being on embracing AI and computing infrastructure, while seeking applications that address real pain points and emphasizing globally competitive companies [15]