2025北京市场：办公楼空置率连降，大吉巷等项目撑起商业增量

Core Insights - The 2025 Beijing real estate market shows signs of resilience despite challenges, with office vacancy rates declining for four consecutive quarters and retail properties benefiting from urban renewal initiatives [1] Office Market - The office market in Beijing experienced a historical low in new supply, with only 180,000 square meters added in 2025, alleviating market de-stocking pressure [2] - New leasing demand showed a "high-middle-weak" trend throughout the year, with relocation needs dominating at 76% of transactions, while the area of relocation transactions decreased compared to the previous year [2][3] - The net absorption for the year reached 438,000 square meters, leading to a year-on-year vacancy rate decrease of 1.9 percentage points to 19.1% [3] - Average rental prices in the city fell by 2.7% year-on-year to 228.5 yuan per square meter, with a total annual decline of 10.7% [4] Retail Market - The retail property market saw a total new supply of 534,000 square meters, all from urban renewal projects, indicating a shift towards "old for new" strategies [6] - The overall retail sales in Beijing decreased by 3.1% year-on-year, but the decline rate has narrowed, suggesting signs of market stabilization [7] - The average rent for shopping centers decreased by 1.0% to 30.0 yuan per square meter, with an annual decline of 2.4% [8] Warehouse and Logistics Market - The warehouse and logistics market faced a supply peak with 1.4 million square meters added, resulting in a record high vacancy rate of 40.7% [10] - The demand shifted from third-party logistics to manufacturing, with new leasing demand driven by sectors like automotive parts and pharmaceuticals, accounting for 40% of new leases [10][11] - Average rents in Beijing fell to 37.1 yuan per square meter, marking a 14.8% annual decline [11] Business Park Market - The business park market welcomed seven new projects, primarily in the life sciences sector, totaling 598,000 square meters [12] - The net absorption for the year was 465,000 square meters, with the strongest demand observed in the Yizhuang Economic Development Zone [13] - Average rents in the business park sector decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, with an annual decline of 10.9% [14] Investment Market - The Beijing investment market recorded 40 transactions totaling 23.27 billion yuan, with a notable increase in transaction volume in the fourth quarter [16] - Corporate buyers accounted for 71% of transactions, indicating a strong interest in core assets despite a decline in transaction value [17] - Office assets dominated the market, comprising 64% of total transaction value, reflecting a continued preference for core area properties [18]