中鼎股份(000887)：深耕智能底盘 机器人业务未来可期

Investment Highlights - The company is rated to outperform the industry with a target price of 28.51 yuan, corresponding to a 2026 P/E of 20 times. It is a leading non-tire rubber enterprise in China, strategically entering the robotics sector starting in 2024 to create a new growth driver [1] - The company is transforming into an intelligent chassis supplier while maintaining stable traditional business. It has strengthened its high-end product layout through overseas acquisitions, resulting in a steady increase in market share and stable growth in cash cow businesses [1] - The company has expanded into three incremental businesses: air suspension, cooling, and lightweighting since 2016, transitioning from providing single rubber parts to becoming a supplier of intelligent chassis systems, thereby increasing the value ceiling per vehicle [1] Profitability and Management - The company's profitability is stabilizing and improving. It adheres to a "global acquisition, China integration" strategy, benefiting from the rapid development of domestic new energy vehicles, which has increased the proportion of high-margin domestic business [2] - The company is enhancing the refined management of overseas factories, controlling costs, and localizing operations, indicating potential for improved profitability [1] Forward-looking Layout - The company is comprehensively laying out the robotics industry chain, covering joint assemblies, core components, lightweight skeletons, rubber parts, and OEM production. It has already established production lines for reducers and tactile sensors and is actively engaging potential customers [2] - In the liquid cooling sector, the company has launched a series of liquid cooling units for energy storage and is developing CDU, cold plates, pipelines, and immersion liquid cooling products for supercomputing center thermal management [2] Potential Catalysts - Emerging business projects in robotics and AI liquid cooling are expected to serve as potential catalysts for growth [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company’s EPS is projected to be 1.25 yuan, 1.43 yuan, and 1.50 yuan for 2025 to 2027, with a CAGR of 17% from 2024 to 2027. The current stock price corresponds to a 2026 P/E of 16.1 times, with a 24% upside potential compared to the target price of 28.51 yuan [4]