长剧2025：三年来最差，但仍有希望

Group 1 - The long content market is experiencing a decline, with a significant drop in the number of registered productions and overall viewership, indicating a challenging environment for the industry [3][4][29] - In 2025, the number of new domestic dramas is projected to be 273, a marginal increase of only 2 compared to the previous year, while the effective viewership of top 20 long dramas has decreased by 20% to 29.6 billion [4][29] - The S+ rated dramas have shown a decline in quantity, with only 41 expected in 2025, down from 49 in 2023, highlighting a trend of fewer high-performing shows [1][3] Group 2 - Major production companies are adapting by diversifying their content offerings and exploring new business models, such as IP development and short drama collaborations [10][12][29] - Companies like Ningmeng Media and Zhengwu Sunshine are focusing on mainstream genres and innovative projects to enhance their resilience against market pressures [10][14] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards overseas markets, with platforms like iQIYI prioritizing international distribution as a key growth strategy, reflecting a strategic upgrade in their business models [23][25][29] Group 3 - The audience's fatigue with traditional genres, particularly ancient costume dramas, is evident, with only 7 new dramas meeting the viewership benchmark of 25 million per episode in 2025 [7][29] - Innovative narrative techniques and genre blending are being explored, with new dramas attempting to incorporate elements from short-form content to attract viewers [21][22][29] - The release of previously shelved dramas is seen as a potential catalyst for revitalizing the market, with successful titles like "Zhe Yao" breaking viewership records [27][28][29]