SIASUN(SZ:300024) Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2026-01-14 04:09Core Insights - The report from Deutsche Bank predicts that 2026 will mark a significant transition for AI in the physical world, particularly in the fields of autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots, moving from testing to scaling [1] Group 1: Humanoid Robots - The supply chain for humanoid robots is forming, with suppliers transitioning to provide integrated solutions and core components [1] - Schaeffler aims to be a key player in humanoid robotics by offering integrated planetary gear actuators, showcasing a compact unit with a torque range of 60–250 Nm [4] - Companies like NEURA and Hyundai Mobis are collaborating to leverage automotive supply chains for humanoid robot manufacturing [4] Group 2: Autonomous Vehicles - The deployment of Robotaxis is gaining momentum, with significant commercial activity expected in 2026, particularly with Tesla's planned launch [10] - Waymo has provided over 10 million paid rides and is expanding its services to international markets, indicating a shift from concept to operational data [15] - Mobileye plans to launch L4 Robotaxi services in Los Angeles this year, showcasing the industry's movement towards real-world applications [15] Group 3: Technology and Innovation - Nvidia remains the dominant player in onboard processors for humanoid robots, with companies like Boston Dynamics utilizing its technology for advanced capabilities [3] - The shift from scripted actions to visual-language-action (VLA) models allows robots to reason and adapt to new environments [3] - The competition in training methods is evolving, focusing on efficient closed-loop systems that integrate real-world data with simulations [7] Group 4: Cost Reduction and Scalability - The cost reduction formula for humanoid robots is driven by increased production volume and improved supplier negotiations [9] - Companies are targeting significant cost reductions, with projections indicating that manufacturing costs could drop from $200,000 to $50,000 as production scales [10] - Visteon is introducing modular solutions to help automakers integrate AI capabilities without overhauling existing architectures, enhancing cost competitiveness [13] Group 5: Market Dynamics - The CES 2026 event highlighted a shift in focus from feasibility to scalability and cost reduction in both autonomous vehicles and humanoid robots [14] - The industry's future will depend on tracking supply chain integration, production capacity, and unit cost curves rather than just innovative demonstrations [14]