Vatee外汇：欧元震荡偏弱 通胀达标难抵美元走强

Group 1 - The euro remains weak against the dollar, trading at 1.1639, slightly down by 0.0007 from the previous day [2] - The eurozone inflation rate is projected to return to 2.0% by December 2025, aligning with the European Central Bank's target [3] - The European Central Bank has maintained the deposit facility rate at 2% for six consecutive months, indicating no immediate policy changes [3] - The dollar index has strengthened, with a 0.28% increase on January 13, driven by market risk aversion and resilience in the U.S. economy [3] - There is a divergence in policy expectations between the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, with the latter raising growth forecasts while warning of economic slowdown risks [3] Group 2 - The eurozone's economic growth is projected to be slow, with forecasts of 1.4% for 2025 and 1.2% for 2026 [3] - The composite PMI and services activity index indicate a slowdown in economic expansion, reflecting insufficient growth momentum [4] - The euro is currently in a consolidation phase after high-level fluctuations, with key resistance at 1.1750 and support at 1.1617 [4] - Technical indicators show bearish market sentiment, with MACD in negative territory and RSI below the midline of 50 [4]