Apple(US:AAPL) 智通财经网·2026-01-14 05:53Core Insights - The global smartphone market is projected to grow by 2.3% year-on-year in Q4 2025, reaching 336.3 million units, driven by high-end model demand, strong performance of foldable phones, and consumer anticipation of price increases [1][2] - Apple and Samsung are the primary growth engines in the smartphone market, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.3% and 7.9% respectively, leading to a combined market share increase to 39% [2][3] - The overall smartphone market in 2025 is expected to reach 1.26 billion units, reflecting a 1.9% year-on-year growth despite challenges such as tariff fluctuations and supply chain disruptions [2][5] Global Market Performance - In Q4 2025, Apple shipped 81.3 million units, capturing 24.2% of the market share, while Samsung shipped 61.2 million units with an 18.2% market share [6] - The average selling price (ASP) of smartphones is expected to reach a historical high due to the strong performance of high-end models [3][5] - The overall market share of other manufacturers decreased slightly, with a total of 102.1 million units shipped, representing 30.4% of the market [6] Chinese Market Dynamics - The Chinese smartphone market saw a slight decline of 0.8% year-on-year in Q4 2025, with shipments around 75.8 million units [7][8] - Apple led the Chinese market with 16.0 million units shipped, achieving a market share of 21.1%, while vivo and OPPO faced challenges with year-on-year declines [8][9] - The overall annual shipment for the Chinese smartphone market is estimated at 284.6 million units, reflecting a 0.6% decrease compared to the previous year [9] Future Outlook - The smartphone market is expected to face challenges in 2026 due to a significant shortage of storage chips, which may lead to a market contraction [5] - Manufacturers' ability to manage supply chains and scale will be crucial in navigating the anticipated downturn [5] - Despite potential declines in shipments, the ASP is likely to continue rising due to increased costs [5]