Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-01-14 07:13Core Insights - The AI industry is experiencing historic development opportunities, with the energy storage sector transforming from a marginal support role to a core engine for stable power supply in the AI era [1] - By 2026, the energy storage industry is expected to enter a historic opportunity period characterized by large-scale and high profitability, driven by policy marketization, technological breakthroughs, and global demand [1] Policy Restructuring - The profound changes in China's energy storage industry by 2025 stem from a systematic upgrade of the policy framework, shifting from "administrative intervention" to "market empowerment" [4] - The introduction of the "Document No. 136" in February 2025 marks the transition of China's energy storage from a "policy task" to a "market profit" model, providing a valuable reference for global energy storage development [5] - Following the policy implementation, domestic energy storage bidding volumes surged to 19.2 GWh from March to May 2025, a year-on-year increase of 210% [4] Market Growth and Demand - The energy storage market is expected to experience explosive demand growth in 2026, driven by multiple scenarios including renewable energy, grid upgrades, and AI data centers, with a market space projected to exceed trillions [6] - In the first nine months of 2025, domestic installed capacity of wind and solar energy reached 102 GW, a year-on-year increase of 45% [6] - The global energy storage installed capacity is predicted to reach 1,200 GW by 2030, a 380% increase from approximately 250 GW in 2025 [7] Diverse Growth Dynamics - The domestic market is characterized by a diversified growth pattern, with energy storage for renewable energy accounting for 31.7% of total new installations in the first nine months of 2025 [9] - User-side energy storage is rapidly growing, with a year-on-year increase of 230% in new installations, driven by cost reduction and peak-valley price differences [9] - The overseas market is becoming a significant growth curve for domestic companies, with new installations reaching 45 GW in the first nine months of 2025, a 112% year-on-year increase [9] Capital Market Performance - The energy storage sector has shown strong performance in the capital market, with the National Renewable Battery Index rising by 55.15% in 2025, significantly outperforming many industries [10] - The energy storage battery ETF (159566) achieved a strong increase of 57.96% in 2025, reflecting the robust growth potential of core companies in the sector [10] Industry Chain Value Release - The value center of the energy storage industry chain is increasingly shifting towards technology-intensive segments, with leading companies benefiting from cost control and profitability [13] - In the system integration sector, the domestic market's CR5 has reached 65%, with leading companies holding a combined market share of 52% [14] - Major companies like Sungrow and CATL have reported significant revenue growth in their energy storage businesses, with CATL's revenue exceeding 20 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 110% [15] Investment Opportunities - The energy storage battery ETF (159566) is an effective tool for investors to share in industry dividends and participate in the green transition, focusing on core segments of the energy storage industry [17] - The ETF's top holdings include leading companies such as CATL and Sungrow, which dominate the market and are well-positioned to capture industry growth [18] - The ETF has shown a 12% annualized return over the past decade, outperforming the China Securities New Energy Index [19]