花旗：上调三个月内布伦特油价预测至每桶70美元

Core Viewpoint - Citi's report indicates that Brent crude oil prices, which were around $60 to $61 per barrel last week, are expected to rise above the previously forecasted range of $55 to $65 per barrel due to increasing geopolitical risks related to Russia/Ukraine and Iran [1] Group 1: Price Forecast - Citi has raised its 0 to 3-month target price for Brent crude oil from approximately $65 per barrel to $70 per barrel, driven by rising supply disruption risks and potential increases in geopolitical risk premiums related to Iran and Russia/Ukraine [1] - The report highlights that during the Iran/Israel conflict in mid-2025, Brent oil prices surged from a low of $60 per barrel to $77 per barrel, suggesting that current pressures on Iran are more severe than during that period [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The current oil supply-demand balance is looser compared to the past, and Citi's baseline view is that a rapid increase in oil prices would provide hedging opportunities for producers [1] - The report notes that U.S. President Trump aims to lower oil prices, and if significant supply disruptions occur, OPEC+ could still increase production starting in the second quarter of 2026 [1]