Dan Ives Predicts Tesla Will Own '80%' Of Robotaxi Market — Says TSLA In His Top 5 List For 2026 - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)
TeslaTesla(US:TSLA) Benzinga·2026-01-14 10:24

Core Viewpoint - Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla Inc., predicting the company will dominate the Robotaxi market in 2023, potentially capturing 80% of the market share [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Predictions - Ives forecasts a base case stock price of $600 and a bull case of $800 for Tesla, emphasizing that 2026 will be a pivotal year for the company and its autonomous driving initiatives [2]. - The prediction of Tesla owning 80% of the Robotaxi market is contingent on the deployment of Robotaxis in 30 cities within the year [3]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - While Ives acknowledges Nvidia Corp. as a potential competitor with its Alpamayo technology, he believes Tesla's scale is unmatched in the industry [3][4]. - Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc., currently leads the Robotaxi sector in the U.S., having recorded over 14 million paid rides in 2025 and achieving 450,000 rides per week [4]. Group 3: Operational Challenges - Tesla's Robotaxi service has not met the driverless operations target set by Elon Musk for the end of the previous year, although Musk has experienced a driverless ride in a Model Y Robotaxi [5]. - The company is shifting its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology to a subscription model, which may enhance adoption rates [6]. Group 4: Stock Performance - Tesla's stock price experienced a slight decline of 0.21, trading at $446.24 during pre-market sessions [6].